WebbPhilip E. Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania and holds appointments in the psychology and political science departments and the Wharton School of Business. He and his wife, Barbara Mellers, are the co-leaders of the Good Judgment Project, a multi-year forecasting study. He is also the author of Expert … Webb12 apr. 2024 · Sfetcu, Nicolae (2024), Principii ale analizei intelligence în cadrul serviciilor secrete, afaceri și (geo)politică, Intelligence Info, 1:1, 29-38, DOI: 10.58679 ...
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WebbQuestion Certainty. According to legend, around 550 BC, Croesus, the king of Lydia, held one of the world’s earliest prediction tournaments. He sent emissaries to seven oracles to ask them to ... Webb5 juli 2016 · So what is the book about? Well, it is about forecasting, but there are many such books 2.What makes the book different from most other standard treatments on forecasting is that it gives a detailed account of the forecasting performance of a large number of “ ordinary ” individuals that volunteered to take part in various forecasting … detata wheel company
Review of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.
WebbBOOK REVIEW Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War, volumes I and II. New York and Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989 and 1991. By Philip E. Tetlock, Jo L. Hus-bands, Robert Jervis, Paul Stem, and Charles Tilly, eds. These volumes are the fruit of the National Research Council's decision in 1985 to create a committee to address the risks of ... WebbClearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Read more. ISBN-10. 9780691128719. Webb7 apr. 2016 · Köp böcker av Philip Tetlock hos Bokus med fri frakt och snabb leverans. ... Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on ... This provocative book highlights the inescapable conflicts of rights and values at the heart of ... chunithm sun opt